Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.048924 1.187114 1.337717 1.514200 1.715560 1.938394 2.204033
2026-02-01 0.810089 0.991924 1.207122 1.481308 1.822409 2.234146 2.770889
2026-02-08 0.674575 0.871504 1.118080 1.450908 1.890631 2.454727 3.238113
2026-02-15 0.595703 0.803926 1.076911 1.463269 1.999707 2.723581 3.783517
2026-02-22 0.529587 0.741798 1.031169 1.457750 2.076010 2.947760 4.284664
2026-03-01 0.472707 0.684176 0.982714 1.438995 2.126059 3.133634 4.744464
2026-03-08 0.417001 0.621348 0.918869 1.388496 2.120292 3.232076 5.077623
2026-03-15 0.381589 0.584306 0.888137 1.382546 2.178353 3.428703 5.580164
2026-03-22 0.367176 0.577349 0.901379 1.444582 2.347198 3.813067 6.426557
2026-03-29 0.339965 0.547417 0.875460 1.440326 2.406310 4.022844 6.999635
2026-04-05 0.321055 0.528914 0.865724 1.460894 2.507450 4.310620 7.737507
2026-04-12 0.297352 0.500244 0.836464 1.444940 2.542806 4.486204 8.289632
2026-04-19 0.271150 0.467226 0.800600 1.420686 2.573176 4.677968 8.939912
2026-04-26 0.246007 0.434115 0.762221 1.389440 2.590339 4.853465 9.596225
2026-05-03 0.224421 0.405038 0.727796 1.361044 2.608303 5.030393 10.276531
2026-05-10 0.210851 0.389139 0.715490 1.372594 2.703995 5.368466 11.334509
2026-05-17 0.196523 0.370371 0.695863 1.367437 2.765040 5.642932 12.293799
2026-05-24 0.182172 0.350166 0.671473 1.349911 2.798093 5.862206 13.160551
2026-05-31 0.165922 0.324753 0.634540 1.302717 2.762806 5.930736 13.691035
2026-06-07 0.155711 0.310454 0.618368 1.297155 2.816596 6.199832 14.731602
2026-06-14 0.152714 0.310523 0.631305 1.355132 3.017730 6.824174 16.728172
2026-06-21 0.144008 0.297933 0.616760 1.351155 3.077050 7.127373 17.964178
2026-06-28 0.138065 0.290659 0.612780 1.370374 3.192528 7.577561 19.648423